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Annual report of the CAA 2003

The Air Traffic Market

For the Finnish air traffic market, 2003 was a year of huge fluctuation and new situations. Air transport shrank dramatically at the beginning of the year, especially in the second quarter, even as new airlines entered the market in an unprecedented way. Stiffening competition among airlines in this declining market finally halted the long-term trend of rising air fares by the end of the year, and slashed them sharply; by as much as 30 % for domestic fares and 12 % for foreign travel.

The price changes plus the extra capacity increased air travel in the final quarter by up to 10 %, although the general economic trend – the driving force behind air travel – wavered either side of zero in Finland. For the airports, this favourable year-end spurt raised annual passenger volumes by about 2 %, which, with the belt-tightening prompted by the New Year jolt and a number of other measures, allowed the CAA to show a favourable 16.5 million euro financial result, without having to skimp on quality or standards. This was a highly surprising turn of events, since during the somewhat desperate “disease period,” we at the CAA estimated that air transport would end up as much as 5 % down for the year, with zero profit or even a slight loss.

Over the year, domestic air travel remained 2 % down, despite the price trends and new airlines on the market. However, during the final quarter when price competition was fiercest, domestic traffic rose by 7 %. International traffic growth over the year finally ended almost exactly as we had predicted at the beginning of the year, at 3.7 %. In the final quarter, growth, spurred by Christmas Lapland travel, reached a full 11 %. With international travel accounting for 74 % of Finnish flights, the changes in the various demand segments gave a growth of 2 % in Finnish air travel as a whole.

The sluggish state of domestic traffic is worrying, especially for the development of provincial airports, as well as for the future of some of the smaller ones. For apart from Tampere and Turku, the proportion of domestic traffic at provincial airports is absolutely decisive, that is, 85 %, of which onward international travel accounts for about 15 %. At the beginning of 2004 the bankruptcy of a Finnish budget airline raised a number of issues and was instructive for the industry.